Preface . . ix
Acknowledgments . . xi
List of Figures . . xiii
List of Tables . . xvii
List of Symbols . . xix

Chapter 1 Introduction . . 1
Chapter 2 Deterministic and Probabilistic Forecasting . . 5
Chapter 3 Stochastic Models . . 13
Chapter 4 Meteorological Models . . 65
Chapter 5 Coupled Meteorological-Stochastic Models . . 79
Chapter 6 Conclusion . . 93

Appendix A. Probability Distributions . . 95
Appendix B. Statistical Inference . . 125
References . . 151
Index . . 163